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Monday, September 28, 2009

Has Global Warming gone away?

Have you noticed the references to “Global Warming” have greatly reduced of late. Perhaps our arguments are starting to have some effect on the thinking public. One would be hard pressed to say that “Global Warming” is a threat with the cooling trend that has lasted now over ten years and is showing no sign of reversal in the near future. The most recent peak in temperature was 1998 - eleven years ago. So the great panic that our destruction is eminent because of the constant warming of the atmosphere is not a tenable argument. The CO2 levels have not decreased during the 11 year decline in temperature so this should lead to immediate doubt that the CO2 is the cause.

Admittedly, this is a fairly short period but one of the problems I have pointed out with the alarmists theories is the cherry picking of a relative brief time in global history and projection from that. Exploring further, we can go back to the heart of the industrial revolution and we find the temperature dropped for 35 years there too. This was during the period the industrial air pollution was at it’s highest. So the period of focus by the “Global Warming” alarmists - about 150 years has several periods comprising a large percentage of the total where the temperature is not following the CO2 levels.

The NASA probes on Mars have detected warming periods similar to those observed on earth. Obviously, there is no industrial pollution causing “Global Warming” on Mars.

The science indicates the source of heat - the sun - varies in the amount of heat that it supplies to the earth. This fact is conspicuously absent the in the alarmists “science”. There is no adjustment factor or allowance to subtract out the solar changes. If one looks at the sun cycles that are traceable with ice core samples there are cycles of near 800 years carrying the largest temperature swings. There are smaller sub cycles during these intervals that are 100 years and less. Looking at the 800 year cycles it is obvious that we are currently near a peak. The exact year could easily vary two or three decades because of the smaller cycles.

Rather than admitting that the theory of man made global warming is a mistake some will just change the argument. They will now say “Climate Change” not “Global Warming”. I think the fact that the term “Global Warming” is declining is evidence that the tide is turning away from the alarmists.

Let’s be true environmentalists and fight real pollution. Let’s find ways to reduce wasteful energy consumption. Let’s not waste time and money with useless carbon capture and “cap and trade” that does not reduce pollution but does increase waste, poverty and joblessness.